the research consultancy for energy technologies
This data-file is a simple global climate model. Specifically, it is a 30-line overview of the carbon cycle, from 1750-2065, covering the difference ‘sources’ and ‘sinks’ of carbon, and how…
…not. But the role of the sun is much less certain, in our view. The uncertainty makes it harder to model and precisely plan for climate change. It provides a…
…oceans, and almost all remains in the atmosphere, in our simple climate model. (d) Other variables. Our model does not factor in the impacts of other variables that have an…
…climate change are only $1.5trn per year. So paradoxically, the energy transition appears to cost 2x more than climate change itself (note below). https://thundersaidenergy.com/2021/01/08/costs-of-climate-change-a-paradox/ What implications? The note above spells…
…by +2% per year through 2030, due to rising populations and rising living standards (model here). We have pencilled in +1.75% pa growth to this model to be conservative. Combustion…
…are most economical and also restore nature (note below). https://thundersaidenergy.com/2020/10/08/planting-a-seed-will-new-forests-disrupt-new-energies/ Our climate model, including all of the temperature data cited in this report are tabulated in the data-file below. https://thundersaidenergy.com/downloads/net-zero-an-energy-climate-model-for-2-degrees/…
…threshold needed to keep global warming to an estimated 2-degrees (climate model below). https://thundersaidenergy.com/downloads/net-zero-an-energy-climate-model-for-2-degrees/ Can the tipping point be averted? The solution to Amazon tipping points is technically simple: stop…
…This helps to ensure that climate action is effective. It is also useful to construct simple models, linking atmospheric methane concentrations to global temperature. They will not be perfect models….
…effectively be ignored. This is despite not having any clear expertise in Earth Science or climatology himself. Conversely, our own climate models and conclusions are below. https://thundersaidenergy.com/2021/02/03/global-temperatures-how-fast-are-they-increasing/ https://thundersaidenergy.com/downloads/net-zero-an-energy-climate-model-for-2-degrees/ (2) A…
…trucking small-scale CO2 for c$17/ton per 100-miles (note here, model here). Similarly, seaborne transport of CO2 costs $8/ton/1,000-miles (model here), and this also opens up a possibility for the LNG…