Global energy: supply-demand model?
…2030 (model here). It includes oil demand, rising to 102Mbpd in 2024 (data here), then plateauing (model here) as OPEC and US shale (model here) offset the decline rate impacts…
Global steel supply-demand model?
Global steel supply-demand runs at 2GTpa in 2023, having doubled since 2003. Our best estimate is that steel demand rises another 80%, to 3.6GTpa by 2050, including due to the…
Global oil demand: breakdown by product by country?
This data-file breaks down global oil demand, country-by-country, product-by-product, month-by-month, across 2017-2023. Global oil demand again hit new highs in 2023, driven by emerging world growth, especially across gasoline, jet…
Jet fuel demand: by region and forecasts to 2050?
…and my jet fuel demand will be counted as African jet fuel demand. If we then divide African jet fuel demand by the population of Africa, we will wrongly be…
European gas and power model: natural gas supply-demand?
This data-file is our European gas supply demand model. Balances are assessed in European gas and power markets from 1990 to 2030, reflecting all of our research into the energy…
Global oil demand forecasts: by end use, by product, by region?
…linked here. Please download the data-file to stress test your own long-run oil demand forecasts, and evaluate oil demand by category, oil demand by region and oil demand by end…
Global energy market model for the energy transition?
…modelling of wind and solar capacity additions, a long-term oil demand model, gas market models, coal supply forecasts and an increasingly favorable outlook on nuclear. Annual data are provided back…
Renewables: can oil and gas assets “demand shift”?
…is demand shifting and who benefits? Demand-shifting is one of the most exciting opportunities for companies in the energy transition. Specifically, the idea is that renewables are going to get…
Global energy demand by end use?
…economic models and supply-demand models, looking theme-by-theme, material-by-material, market by market. Hence we have attempted a full granular breakdown of global energy demand by end use here. As simple rules…
Global energy demand: nervous breakdown?
…to look line by line, through all of the economic models, energy intensity models and supply-demand models we have built over the past five years, as explained on pages 2-3….