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Search results for: “climate model”

  • Air Products: ammonia cracking technology?

    Air Products: ammonia cracking technology?

    Can we de-risk Air Products’s ammonia cracking technology in our roadmaps to net zero, which is crucial to recovering green hydrogen in regions that import green ammonia from projects such as Saudi Arabia’s NEOM. We find strong IP in Air Products’s patents. However, we still see 15-35% energy penalties and $2-3/kg of costs in ammonia…

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  • Global PGM demand: breakdown by metal and use?

    Global PGM demand: breakdown by metal and use?

    Core global PGM demand ran at 565 tons in 2023, which remains c6% lower than the all-time peak demand of 600Tpa in 2019. We model a recovery to 700 Tpa of demand for platinum, palladium and rhodium in 2030, then a long run decline to 350Tpa if EVs ultimately reach 90% of vehicle sales by…

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  • Solar+battery co-deployments: output profiles?

    Solar+battery co-deployments: output profiles?

    Solar+battery co-deployments allow a large and volatile solar asset to produce a moderate-sized and non-volatile power output, during 40-50% of all the hours throughout a calendar year. The smooth output is easier to integrate with power grids, including with a smaller grid connection. The battery will realistically cycle 100-300 times per year.

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  • eHighway economics: costs of electrifying heavy trucks?

    eHighway economics: costs of electrifying heavy trucks?

    eHighways present an opportunity to electrify heavy trucking, by conveying medium voltage power via overhead steel catenary lines, through a pantograph, to an electric or hybrid-electric truck. This data-file captures the economics of eHighways, covering capex costs, returns and sensitivities, both for road operators and truck operators. The CO2 intensity of trucking can be reduced…

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  • Waste-to-energy: levelized costs of electricity?

    Waste-to-energy: levelized costs of electricity?

    A typical waste-to-energy plant, without subsidies, must charge 16c/kWh to generate a 10% IRR off of c$7,000/kW in capex costs, plus another 14c/kwh-equivalent of revenues from avoided landfilling and metals recovery. This economic model covers waste-to-energy levelized costs of electricity.

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  • Solvent extraction: Rare Earth separations?

    Solvent extraction: Rare Earth separations?

    How are Rare Earths separated and concentrated? The process uses solvent extraction in mixer-settlers. It will typically cost over $10/kg, and possibly in the hundreds of dollars per kg. Solvent extraction costs are highly variable and can be stress-tested in this data-file.

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  • Heavy truck costs: diesel, gas, electric or hydrogen?

    Heavy truck costs: diesel, gas, electric or hydrogen?

    Heavy truck costs are estimated at $0.14 per ton-kilometer, for a truck typically carrying 15 tons of load and traversing over 150,000 miles per annum. Today these trucks consume 10Mbpd of diesel and their costs absorb 4% of post-tax incomes. Electric trucks would be 20-50% most costly, and hydrogen trucks would be 45-75% more, which…

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  • Eni Slurry Technology. A leader for IMO 2020?

    Eni Slurry Technology. A leader for IMO 2020?

    This data-file models the economics of Eni’s Slurry Technology, for hydro-converting heavy crudes and fuel oils into light products. It is among the top technologies we have reviewed for the arrival of IMO 2020 sulfur regulation, achieving >97% conversion of heavy fractions.

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  • Wind: aim higher?

    Wind: aim higher?

    This data-file contains a simple model for how wind speeds and wind power co-vary with altitude. 2x greater power could likely be harnessed by a kite at 300m than a similar-sized turbine at 80m.ย 

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  • Thermo-Plastic Composite: The Future of Risers?

    Thermo-Plastic Composite: The Future of Risers?

    We estimate thermo-plastic composite riser costs line-by-line. Savings should reach 45%. The file also includes a complete history of TCP installations to-date, as this technology’s adoption continues.

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