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Global gas: catch methane if you can?
Scaling up natural gas is among the largest decarbonisation opportunities. But this requires minimising methane leaks. Exciting new technologies are emerging. This 28-page note ranks producers, positions for new policies and advocates developing more LNG. To seize the opportunity, we also identify 35 companies geared to the theme. Global gas demand will not be derailed…
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Ramp Renewables? Portfolio Perspectives.
It is often said that Oil Majors should become Energy Majors by transitioning to renewables. But what is the best balance based on portfolio theory? We constructed a mean-variance optimisation model and find a c5-13% weighting to renewables best increases risk-adjusted returns. Beyond 35%, returns decline rapidly.
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Disrupting Agriculture: Energy Opportunities?
Precision-engineered proteins are on the cusp of disrupting the agriculture industry. The science is improving rapidly, to create meat-substitutes with vastly superior nutrition, taste and costs. We explore the energy consequences of “replacing cows”, with potential for 2bcfd upside to US gas demand, to offset the CO2 of all US oil demand, increase US biofuels…
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CO2-EOR in shale: the holy grail?
What if there were a technology to sequester CO2, double shale productivity, earn 15-30% IRRs and it was on the cusp of commercialization? Promising momentum is building, at the nexus of decarbonised gas-power and Permian CO2-EOR. This short note highlights the economic opportunity.
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De-Carbonising Carbon?
Decarbonisation is often taken to mean the end of fossil fuels. It is more feasible simply to de-carbonise them, with next-generation combustion technologies. This 19-page note explores our top two opportunities: ‘Oxy-Combustion’ using the Allam Cycle and Chemical Looping Combustion. This means zero carbon coal & gas at competitive economics. Leading Oil Majors are supporting…
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Shell drives LNG in transport?
Shell is the most active Major in driving new LNG demand. In 2019, it patented a new sub-cooler to improve the ascent of LNG in transportation. Our note explains the challenges of boil-off and gas-weathering, how they are addressed by Shell’s new technology, and eight resulting advantages.
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Oil Companies Drive the Energy Transition?
There is only one way to decarbonise the energy system: leading companies must find economic opportunities in better technologies. No other route can source sufficient capital to re-shape the industry. We outline seven game-changing opportunities. Remarkably, leading energy Majors are already pursuing them.
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Is the world investing enough in energy?
The IEA has cautioned that global energy investment may be falling short. Spending of $1.6trn in 2018 may need to rise $220-270bn pa by 2025-30. We argue the best way to attract this capital is through the opportunities in better energy technology.
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Is gas a competitive truck-fuel?
We have assessed whether gas is a competitive trucking fuel, comparing LNG and CNG head-to-head against diesel, across 35 different metrics (from the environmental to the economic). Total costs per km are still 10-30% higher for natural gas, even based on $3/mcf Henry Hub, which is 5x cheaper than US diesel.
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Why the Thunder Said?
Energy transition is underway. Or more specifically, five energy transitions are underway at the same time. They include the rise of renewables, shale oil, digital technologies, environmental improvements and new forms of energy demand. This is our rationale for establishing a new research consultancy, Thunder Said Energy, at the nexus of energy-technology and energy-economics.
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