Vehicle costs: cars, SUVs, hybrids, EVs and hydrogen?
…economical. Trucks and SUVs are 2x more costly. EVs are another 25% more costly again, and will have lost c60% of their value after 100,000 miles. Hydrogen cars have the…
Lithium ion batteries for electric vehicles: what challenges?
…of “breakthroughs” heralded on any one dimension until all of the trade-offs are clear. (4) Electric semi-trucks are unlikely (we prefer supercapacitors). Many patents noted great challenges scaling up larger…
Wet sand: what impacts on shale breakevens and CO2?
…can be lifted from trucks onto the wellsite with “the fewest touch points and the least modification”. A typical container system carries 23,000-27,000lbs of sand, with a capacity of 28,500…
Proton exchange membrane fuel cells: what challenges?
This data-file reviews fifty patents into proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs), filed by leading companies in the space in 2020, in order to understand the key challenges the industry…
China Energy Demand and CO2 Emissions, 2000-2060
…dominated by jet fuel, long-distance trucks and shipping. China oil demand in a decarbonization scenario Overall, China’s gross CO2 emissions are seen falling back from 10.5GTpa in 2022 to 8GTpa…
Oil demand: the rise of autonomous vehicles?
We are raising our medium-term oil demand forecasts by 2.5-3.0 Mbpd to reflect the growing reality of autonomous vehicles. AVs eventually improve fuel economy in cars and trucks by 15-35%,…
Oil demand: the rise of autonomous vehicles?
We are raising our medium-term oil demand forecasts by 2.5-3.0 Mbpd to reflect the growing reality of autonomous vehicles. AVs eventually improve fuel economy in cars and trucks by 15-35%…
Alternative truck fuels: how economic?
This data-file compares different trucking fuels — diesel, CNG, LNG, LPG and Hydrogen — across 35 variables. Most important are the economics, which are fully modelled, in the 2020s in…
LNG in transport: scaling up by scaling down?
Next-generation technology in small-scale LNG has potential to reshape the global shipping-fuels industry. Especially after IMO 2020 sulphur regulations, LNG should compete with diesel. This note outlines the technologies, economics…
A Short History of Travel Speeds
This is our database of global travel speeds throughout history. It contains notes on the top travel-speeds attainable by different forms of transportation; plus more granular data on the average…