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  • Inspection costs: drones versus traditional quality control?

    Inspection costs: drones versus traditional quality control?

    This data-file estimates the costs of drone inspections, for the construction and resources industries, using bottom-up numbers from technical papers. Costs per hour can be 30% lower than for traditional quality control. A single drone, including software licenses likely costs c$30k.

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  • Oil demand: the rise of autonomous vehicles?

    Oil demand: the rise of autonomous vehicles?

    We are raising our medium-term oil demand forecasts by 2.5-3.0 Mbpd to reflect the growing reality of autonomous vehicles. AVs improve fuel economy in cars and trucks by 15-35%, and displace 1.2Mbpd of air travel. But their convenience also increases travel. This note outlines the opportunity.

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  • Next-generation plastics: bioplastic, biodegradable, recycled?

    Next-generation plastics: bioplastic, biodegradable, recycled?

    This data-file captures 17 plastic products derived from mechanical recycling, biologically-sourced feedstocks or that is bio-degradable. The ‘greenest” plastics are c30% lower in CO2 than conventional plastics, but around 2x more costly.

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  • Offshore offsets: nature based solutions in the ocean?

    Offshore offsets: nature based solutions in the ocean?

    Nature based carbon offsets could migrate offshore in the 2020s, sequestering 3GTpa of CO2 for a prices of $20-140/ton. In a more extreme case, if CO2 prices reached $400/ton, oceans could potentially decarbonize the whole world. This 19-page note outlines the opportunity in seaweed and kelp.

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  • Biochar: burnt offerings?

    Biochar: burnt offerings?

    Biochar is a miraculous material, improving soils, enhancing agricultural yields and avoiding 1.4kg of net CO2 emissions per kg of waste biomass. IRRs surpass 20% without CO2 prices or policy support. Hence this 18-page note outlines the opportunity.

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  • Gas treatment: an overview?

    Gas treatment: an overview?

    This data-file gives an overview of gas sweetening and treatment processes. The main method is chemical absorption using amines. We estimate that a mid-size facility of 500mmcfd must levy a $0.15/mcf cost and emits 3.5kg/boe to take out c7% H2S and CO2. Other processes are compared.

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  • Energy efficiency of motors and power generators?

    Energy efficiency of motors and power generators?

    This data-file estimates the efficiency of electric motors and power generators, using specific examples and data-points. This matters as there are around 50bn motors in the world, consuming c45% of global electricity. Efficiency ratings are generally high, above 90%, although lagging and non-optimized motors can be in the 70-80% range.

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  • Battery recycling: long division?

    Battery recycling: long division?

    Recycling lithium batteries could be worth $100bn per year by 2040 while supporting electric vehiclesโ€™ ascent. Hence new companies are emerging to recapture 95% of spent materials with environmentally sound methods. Our 15-page note explores what it would take for battery-recycling to become both practical and compelling.

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  • Gas turbines: what market size in energy transition?

    Gas turbines: what market size in energy transition?

    CHP systems are 20-30% lower-carbon than gas turbines, as they capture waste heat. They are also increasingly economical to backstop renewables. Amidst uncertain policies, the market size for US CHPs could vary by a factor of 100x. We nevertheless find 30 companies well-placed in a $9trn global market.

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  • Windy physics: how is power of a wind turbine calculated?

    Windy physics: how is power of a wind turbine calculated?

    This data-file is an overview of wind power physics. Specifically, how is the power of a wind turbine calculated, in MW, as a function of wind speed, blade length, blade number, rotational speed (in RPM) and other efficiency factors (lambda). A large, modern offshore wind turbine will have 100m blades and surpass 10MW power outputs.

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