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Canadian shale producers and E&P costs?

This data-file is a screen of Canadian upstream companies and Canadian shale producers, especially focused on the fast-growing Montney-Duvernay shale plays. Key themes are rising shale oil and gas production, low-capex wells, high well-level IRRs, performance improvements and consolidation via M&A.


Canadian oil production averaged 5.3Mbpd in 2025 and gas production averaged 19bcfd. Oil sands production is still slowly growing, rising, +140kbpd YoY, while light crude and condensate associated with shale plays rose by +50kbpd YoY. Gas production rose by +400mmcfd in the shale basins of Alberta and +300mmcfd in British Columbia. The data-file contains a breakdown by product and by region (charts below).

Oil and gas production in Canada, since 2000. Oil production has more than doubled, largely due to oil sands.

Canadian shale production is increasingly interesting to us, due to the ramp-up of Canadian LNG export options, a growing focus on unleashing Canadian resources, and the size and scale of the resource. In our survey of global shale basins, we estimate the US has produced 11% of its total shale resources, while Canada has only produced 3%.

Canadian shale producers are also increasingly interesting to energy acquirers. Shell agreed to acquire ARC Resources in April-2026, for $16.4bn. Whitecap and Veren merged in 2025 in a $15bn transaction. Ovintiv expanded its Montney footprint in 2025, by acquiring NuVista for $2.7bn.

Hence we have screened Canadian shale producers and other upstream companies in this data-file. Growing production for a subset of half-a-dozen relatively pure-play shale E&Ps, focused on the Montney and Duvernay, are shown below-left. Their production is 35% liquids, 65% gas. A cost breakdown of Canadian shale production is also aggregated from company disclosures.

Oil and gas production by Canadian shale companies, from 2010. Production has grown by 4x from 2015 and costs have dropped greatly

Falling costs and improving performance are cited for Canadian shale producers. The average Canadian shale well costs $7M, which is -60% less than typical wells in the US shale gas basins, although the EURs per well are also 40-60% lower, including due to c30-50% shorter lateral lengths. This approach is more capital efficient, at least for now, and many Canadian shale E&Ps claim to generate 50-100%+ well-level IRRs.

Capital expenditure by Canadian shale companies per barrel produced and per well drilled, from 2010

The full data-file contains an overview of each company, its market cap ($M), net debt ($M), enterprise value ($M), NPV10 of 2P reserves ($M), production (kboed), capex costs ($M), cost breakdown ($/boe, $/mcfe), and notes on recent performance improvements and production goals.

This data-file was last updated on 04-Jun-26.