Jet fuel demand: by region and forecasts to 2050?
…and my jet fuel demand will be counted as African jet fuel demand. If we then divide African jet fuel demand by the population of Africa, we will wrongly be…
Air conditioning: energy demand sensitivity?
Air conditioning energy demand is quantified in this data-file. In the US, each 100 Cooling Degree Day (CDD) variation adds 26 TWH of electricity (0.6%) demand and 200bcf of gas…
Global steel supply-demand model?
Global steel supply-demand runs at 2GTpa in 2023, having doubled since 2003. Our best estimate is that steel demand rises another 80%, to 3.6GTpa by 2050, including due to the…
China Energy Demand and CO2 Emissions, 2000-2060
…with 20-input variables that can be stress-tested. In our base case scenario, total useful energy demand rises 1.5x by 2050, gas demand rises 3.5x to displace coal, wind and solar…
European gas: anatomy of an energy crisis?
Europe suffered a full-blown energy crisis in 2022, hence what happened to gas demand, as prices rose 5x from 2019 levels? European gas demand in 2022 fell -13% overall, including…
Battle of the batteries: EVs vs grid storage?
…remainder, we would prefer other solutions such as demand-shifting and long-distance transmission networks. https://thundersaidenergy.com/2021/09/16/power-grids-tenet/ https://thundersaidenergy.com/2021/02/25/shifting-demand-can-renewables-reach-50-of-grids/ https://thundersaidenergy.com/2022/05/05/power-transmission-raising-electrical-potential/ Thus, as a base case, we think a 16kW battery (about the same size…
Global energy: supply-demand model?
…stress-tested in the model. $599.00 – Purchase Checkout Added to cart Useful global energy demand grew at a CAGR of +2.5% per year since 1990, and +3.0% per year since 2000. Demand…
Energy demand: making predictions about the future?
How accurate are energy demand forecasts? I.e., what is the error of the estimate for forecasting future global energy demand, or future oil demand, a few years into the future?…
Power grids: when will wind and solar peak?
Wind and solar peak at 50-55% of power grids, without demand-shifting or storage, before their economics become overwhelmed by curtailment rates and backup costs. More in wind-heavy grids. Less in…
Renewables: share of global energy and electricity by country?
…slowly, and this may be the time that storage and demand-shifting start becoming more important. Intermittency markets? Most countries in our screen are on course to reach 30% wind and…