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  • Variable frequency drives: leading companies?

    Variable frequency drives: leading companies?

    This data-file outlines the top twenty companies producing variable frequency drives to precisely control electric motors. The top three companies are European capital goods players. High-quality VFDs may protect against growing competition from China.

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  • Electric motors: variable star?

    Electric motors: variable star?

    Variable frequency drives precisely control motors. Amazingly they could reduce global electricity demand by c10%. We expect a sharp acceleration due to sustained energy shortages, increasingly renewable-heavy grids and excellent 20-50% IRRs. Hence this 14-page note reviews the opportunity and who benefits.ย 

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  • Axial flux motors: leading companies and products?

    Axial flux motors: leading companies and products?

    This data-file profiles leading companies and products in the space of axial flux motors, with an average power density of almost 8kW/kg, which is 10x higher than a typical AC induction motor in heavy industry. Leading companies are profiled, based on reviewing over 1,200 patents.

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  • Electric motors: state of flux?

    Electric motors: state of flux?

    This 15-page note explores whether axial flux motors could come to dominate in the future of transportation. They promise 2-3x higher power densities, even versus Teslaโ€™s world-leading PMSRMs; and 10-15x higher than clunky industrial AC induction units; while also surpassing c96% efficiencies.

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  • Back-stopping renewables: the nuclear option?

    Back-stopping renewables: the nuclear option?

    Nuclear power can backstop much volatility in renewables-heavy grids, for costs of 15-25c/kWh. This is at least 70% less costly than large batteries or green hydrogen, but could see less wind and solar developed overall. Our 13-page note reviews the opportunity.

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  • Electric vehicles: chargers of the light brigade?

    Electric vehicles: chargers of the light brigade?

    This 14-page note compares the economics of EV charging stations with conventional fuel retail stations. Our main question is whether EV chargers will ultimately get over-built. Hence prospects may be best for charging equipment and component manufacturers.

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  • Natural gas: the EU green taxonomy’s 270g/kWh CO2 target?

    Natural gas: the EU green taxonomy’s 270g/kWh CO2 target?

    The EU taxonomy is a set of guidelines that label some investments as ‘green’. This includes gas power with a CO2 intensity below 270g/kWh. Most conventional gas projects will not meet this hurdle, but CHPs and 20-30% blends of lower-carbon gas could accelerate.

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  • Global oil demand: breakdown by product by country?

    Global oil demand: breakdown by product by country?

    This data-file breaks down global oil demand, country-by-country, product-by-product, month-by-month, across 2017-2024. Global oil demand ran at 103 Mbpd in 2024, for +1.0 Mbpd of growth, according to our databases. For perspective, global oil demand rose at +1.2Mbpd per year in the 30-years from 1989->2019, so not much evidence, on face value, that “peak oil…

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  • Pumped hydro: the economics?

    Pumped hydro: the economics?

    This data-file assesses pumped hydro costs, to back up wind and solar. A typical project has 0.5GW of capacity, 12-hours storage duration, 80% efficiency, and capex costs of $2,250/kW. Thus it requires a 25c/kWh storage spread, in order to generate a 10% IRR.

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  • Revolutions and upheavals: are energy shortages a cause?

    Revolutions and upheavals: are energy shortages a cause?

    This data-file aims to assess whether spiking food and energy prices lead to political changes. There is a >70% chance of regime change at the next election, after food and energy prices have spiked. Links with outright revolutions are looser.

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