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Overview of Downstream Catalyst Companies

This data-file tabulates headline details of c35 companies commercialising catalysts for the refining industry, in order to improve conversion efficiencies and lower CO2 emissions. Five early-stage private companies stand out, while we also profile which Majors have recently filed the most patents to improve downstream catalysis.
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Northern Lights CCS: the economics?

We have modeled out simple economics for Northern Lights, the most elaborate CCS scheme proposed by the energy industry (Equinor, Shell, TOTAL). The project involves capturing 1.3-1.5MTpa of industrial CO2, shipping it, piping it 110km offshore, then injecting it 3,000m below Norway’s seabed. Costs are expensive. But phase 2 could benefit from scale, offering “CO2…
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Solar Use within the Oil Industry?

20 solar projects are being undertaken across the oil industry, to reduce CO2 emissions. But today’s project pipeline will obviate less than 1% of oil industry CO2 by 2025. So momentum must build behind these leading examples, which are: steam-EOR in Oman and California, Solar PV in the Permian, and specific companies such as Occidental,…
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Development Concepts: how much CO2?

We tabulate c25 oil projects, breaking down the total tons of steel and concrete used in their topsides, jackets, hulls, wells, SURF and pipelines. Infill wells, tiebacks and FPSOs make the most CO2-efficient use of construction materials per barrel of production, helping to minimise emissions. Fixed leg platforms are higher CO2, then gravity based structures, then…
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Oil markets: restoring the balance?

OPEC will most likely need to cut production again to stabilise 2020 oil markets, as shown by our newly updated oil market models. But over-supply still looms in 2023-25. Three resolutions could remove the overhang, within the oil markets’ balance of probabilities. Our updated oil market outlook is explore in this short, 4-page note.
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Shipping in batteries: the economics?

What if it were possible to displace diesel from high-cost, high-carbon island grids, by charging up large batteries with gas- and renewable power, then shipping the batteries? We model the economics to be cost-competitive, while CO2 emissions can be halved. Futher battery cost deflation will also help.
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Global hydrogen: market breakdown?

This data-file is a global hydrogen market breakdown, disaggregating the 110MTpa market (mainly ammonia, methanol and refining), how it is met via different production technologies, and our estimates of those technologies’ costs (in $/kg) and CO2 intensities (in kg/kg or tons/ton).
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Guyana: carbon credentials & capital costs?

Commercialising Guyana’s new oil resources could entail 30-35kg of CO2 per bbl, which is c50% below the oil industry average. Prioritising such low carbon barrels will matter increasingly to investors, as they can reduce total oil industry CO2 by 25%. Hence, they should attract a lower WACC. In Guyana’s case, the upshot could add $8-15bn…
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Guyana: Economic Model

We have modeled the economics for the full development of Exxon, Hess and CNOOC-Nexen’s Stabroek block in Guyana, FPSO by FPSO. The data-file includes the field’s ultimate value, resource volumes, production volumes, cash flows, capex and per-barrel economics. Sensitivities can also modeled as a function of oil prices, WACCs and resources.
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Global Flaring Intensity by Country

This data-file tabulates global flaring intensity in 16 countries: in absolute terms (bcm per year), per barrel of oil production (mcf/bbl) and as a contribution to CO2 emissions (kg/boe). 2021 saw 144bcm of global flaring, averaging 0.2 mcf/bbl and 10 kg/boe of direct emissions. Lower decile countries flared 0.7 mcf/bbl, which is over 40 kg/boe.
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